I am quite sure they will give new quota again, only when is still not clear.
The quota dont depends only on Ibama, also ministery agriculture have to agree. And ibama already gave the ok for the new quota, so now it depends on ministery agriculture in brasilia when the new quota will released.
Is only bla bla about oversize Leopoldis and P14, it happened in beginning but now it very strict control and no exporter risk it now. Those problems are long time ago under control. P14 and bigger rays getting out of brazil in illegal ways and this for sure cannot be stopped by ibama. Same like with L46,l25,.. they get out to peru and columbia in big qtys.